Beer Money
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Recent Posts
- “The fewer people vote, the more likely Democrats are to win.” Really. State Abortion-Rights Initiatives Skew That Math Further.
- Could Be a Hotter Election Than Many Expect. Making the Comfortable Uncomfortable…
- Made In China – Goods Deflation. Also a Low Neutral Interest Rate?
- Will Europe Step Up in Ukraine if the US Steps Back? It Might Do The Right Thing (For Once) and Emerge Transformed (for the Better).
- Early Rate Cuts? Fed’s Powell is a Republican, But is He Pro Trump? My Guess is No…
Recent Comments
- Robert J Berger on What I Got Wrong On the Debt Ceiling. Pro Wrestling Rot is Deeper than I Thought. Both Encouraging and Worrying.
- Anders Comstedt on We’re Just Getting Poorer. Less “Inflation” Than “Stuff Getting More Expensive.”
- Doc Searls Weblog · The frog of war on Imminent Russian Army Collapse? Actually a Plausible Scenario. “Moscow is Silent.”
- Steve Kamman on Why the Fed “Has” to Cut Rates.
- Dominique Watkins on Why the Fed “Has” to Cut Rates.
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Author Archives: Steve Kamman
The Market is Celebrating a Productivity Revolution. We’re Too Busy Mourning It to Notice…
Publishing this against a deadline so apologies for any typos. I’ve been doing some thinking around how to think about current market valuations and the outlook. I’m still doing some work on the widely cited PE/10 valuation argument (spoiler, PE/10 … Continue reading
Posted in tech-telecom-markets-macro
2 Comments
My Gov’t Shutdown Fantasies…
OK, so I’ve got fantasies. I’m not hurting anyone and it’s a free country ain’t it? (grin). First a note of resigned reality. The House Republicans are (of course) acting like lunatics. What is depressing is that the Senate and … Continue reading
Posted in tech-telecom-markets-macro
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Stick a Fork in Obama, He May Be Done…
Back in Berkeley in front of a large monitor and a real keyboard. Hurrah! I am still hoping against hope that we aren’t just facing 3 years of lame duck flailing about, but one of the most reliable indicators of … Continue reading
Posted in tech-telecom-markets-macro
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Tech. Probably Down on Shutdown, Up on 3Q Earnings
Mulling over the next month for stocks in general, the TMT world specifically, and my comm equipment holdings in particular. I expect things to be choppy to nasty through mid-October. Then we probably head upwards as 3q earnings bring decent … Continue reading
Posted in tech-telecom-markets-macro
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What’s wrong with the American Health Care System in One Anecdote
So I’ve been up in Vermont dealing with a (major but not dire) in law’s health crisis. This has taken me to the local hospital on a few occasions. When you pull up, there are a series of spaces marked … Continue reading
Posted in tech-telecom-markets-macro
1 Comment
What’s the Fed Up to?
I’m in Vermont and dealing with some health problems with the in-laws, so been a bit tough to fit posts in. I’ve got a backlog of more in-depth analysis (tech and macro) teed up in my mind, but need to … Continue reading
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A Gov’t Shutdown (Before Debt Ceiling Crisis) Looks More Likely
I figure the whole world will write about the Fed today, so thought I’d highlight the other important development. The House Republicans look dead set on de-funding Obamacare as part of the continuing resolution that keeps the government going until … Continue reading
Posted in tech-telecom-markets-macro
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Tired of Partisanship? Its All C-SPAN’s Fault…
I am starting to wonder if C-Span is the real cause of gridlock in DC. Specifically, the Sunday night airing of the UK’s Prime Minister’s Questions. It does seem like at least one clear vector for the increasingly venomous and … Continue reading
Posted in politics, tech-telecom-markets-macro
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Larry Summers Train Just Wrecks. Full Stop.
So I’m left wondering if it was pantomime or for real? I am encouraged that someone out there had the sense to call the whole thing off. And hoping that Obama was canny enough to play this game to the … Continue reading
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Larry Summers Train Wreck Grinds Along
The most charitable interpretation of the ongoing Fed Chair appointment debacle is that Obama is doing it for show. The more likely interpretation is that this is going to end up another shambolic fail. Pretty depressing regardless. Charitable: Obama feels … Continue reading
Posted in tech-telecom-markets-macro
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