Category Archives: Uncategorized

So I’d decided to break my self-imposed politics ban about a week ago.  Election is coming up so politics are actionable and just too salient and…   Then I got a stomach bug.  Then the rest of the family got the … Continue reading →

I don’t often re-post other content, but the piece (link in full below) is worth sharing.  It is a “where are the markets now?” piece that very tidily sums up the main (credible) arguments for over or under-valuation of financial … Continue reading →

Today’s FT brings a tidy, cogent, Japan-based example of the risks of so-called low risk assets when demographics turn against you. We Are All Japanese Regional Banks.  We Just Don’t Know it Yet. The (paper) Financial Times has a great … Continue reading →

I’ve been running myself in circles trying to figure out the whole negative rates/inflation/global outlook thing.  Usually writing it out helps, but not in this case.  But seeing if some baby steps might help break the writers (and thinker’s) block. … Continue reading →

Our current economic model does a lot of things well, but it reliably fails with long-lived assets.  That sounds like a pretty bloodless comment, but the consequences are – literally – murderous in some cases.   In telecom, we are watching … Continue reading →

I figured I’d publish my post-quarter Calix update here.  As someone noted to me, I probably won’t be getting a Christmas card from them.  🙂  But if the emperor is prancing around in new clothes made of nothing more than … Continue reading →

Back to the Fed and other matters next week.  I’ve been away from a real keyboard and a bit busy lately.  But had to share this bit. I’ve been reading a phenomenal (both writing and content) book titled “Defying Hitler.”  … Continue reading →

I am re-posting this as the charts didn’t show in the prior version for some reason.  I’ve pasted them in a different format.  Please view the post in your browser if need be. All that money the Fed has been … Continue reading →

The Fed “has” to cut its short-term rate.  Why?  Because their current lending rate seems to create an arbitrage incentive for banks to NOT LEND.  As currently structured, the Fed’s rate policy appears to be an active drag on the … Continue reading →

After my initial dismay at the Mexico tariffs news, a certain optimism began to creep in.  The move is a disaster when seen through the cartoon lens of “Trump is a loose cannon.”   But it shows a way out of … Continue reading →